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Risks and Realities of the AUKUS – Organization for World Peace Partnership

Australia finds itself grappling with increasing vulnerability to Chinese military aggression and potential involvement in conflict that could lead to catastrophic nuclear disaster. This stark warning comes from Sam Roggeveen, a former Australian intelligence specialist and director of the Lowy Institute’s international security program. In his recent article for the Australian Foreign Affairs journal, Roggeveen highlights how Australia’s decisions to draw on US combat forces and align its military strategy with fighting China could inadvertently draw the nation into war which is not essential to its security interests.

Analyzing the cumulative impact of policies such as welcoming U.S. B-52 bombers and recycling U.S. nuclear submarines, Roggeveen highlights the sensitivity surrounding the threat of another country’s nuclear forces. It points out that US bombers operating from Australian bases could become significant targets for Chinese forces, potentially triggering a nuclear response and having devastating consequences for the entire region. The specter of nuclear war poses a significant threat not only to Australia but also to global stability, calling for careful assessment of diplomatic options to mitigate the risk.

Australia’s approach to foreign policy faces a delicate balance, given growing tensions between the United States and China. The country has historically relied on its alliance with the United States for defense purposes, but changing dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region require a nuanced approach. Balancing security interests and avoiding involvement in a potential nuclear conflict requires careful navigation and active diplomatic engagement.

As tensions escalate between the United States and China, Australia must carefully consider the potential consequences of supporting one side over the other. Diplomatic channels and dialogue become paramount to finding peaceful solutions and reducing the risk of a devastating nuclear war.

Separately, U.S. senators are working to ease export control bottlenecks related to the AUKUS security partnership, which goes beyond the acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines. The agreement also encompasses collaboration on advanced capabilities such as hypersonic weapons, quantum technologies, artificial intelligence and underwater technologies.

To facilitate the partnership, bipartisan support from the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee aims to grant Australia and the United Kingdom priority access to the transfer of AUKUS-related defense equipment and services. The proposal aims to speed up the examination and processing of applications, with the exception of those from Taiwan and Ukraine. Additionally, the legislation proposes a pre-approved list of advanced military platforms and equipment that are prioritized for sale and distribution to AUKUS countries.

The legislation also establishes a process to exempt AUKUS countries from licensing and approval requirements, provided their export controls comply with U.S. standards. Additionally, regular reports on AUKUS progress, military capability gaps, and costs to the United States should be submitted to congressional committees.

Australia’s sovereignty in maintaining control of submarines remains a key point of discussions, despite assurances that submarines will be deployed in alignment with allied forces. As AUKUS takes center stage during high-level discussions between the United States and Australia, careful consideration of the implications and implications of the partnership is paramount.

Ultimately, Australia faces a complex geopolitical landscape that requires careful decision-making, effective diplomacy and a clear understanding of the potential risks and consequences of its engagements with major powers in the region. Striking the right balance between security alliances and avoiding nuclear war should be at the heart of Australia’s strategic approach in these uncertain times.

Source : Nouvelles Du Monde